This is the marquee matchup of XFL Week 4, with the undefeated Houston Roughnecks visiting the Dallas Renegades.
The Renegades were the preseason favorites before losing to St. Louis in Week 1, but now they have won two straight since Landry Jones’ return to the lineup.
Houston, led by MVP front-runner P.J. Walker, is the highest-scoring team in the league at 33 points per game. But Dallas has the top defense, allowing just 15 points per game. The average stats put this as a Houston 24-21 win, or Roughnecks -3 with a total of 45.
I was bummed when books actually made Dallas a short home fave, but now I’m glad the public has bet Houston to favoritism, so I can keep the Renegades as my best bet of the week. Remember, even though Houston is 3-0, the Roughnecks are 1-2 ATS and have failed to cover their past two games, including their first road test last week at Tampa Bay.
The Play: Dallas Renegades, +2¹/₂.